Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.044202 4.331749 4.639288 4.994345 5.395079 5.835884 6.360948
2025-08-17 3.508021 3.893164 4.330000 4.868274 5.522504 6.303958 7.327324
2025-08-24 3.197530 3.631619 4.143568 4.803479 5.649717 6.725988 8.247930
2025-08-31 3.020038 3.494824 4.073002 4.847237 5.887800 7.289276 9.423196
2025-09-07 2.867351 3.368176 3.994087 4.859179 6.069476 7.784609 10.582627
2025-09-14 2.674146 3.172894 3.807240 4.703314 5.992968 7.889399 11.149287
2025-09-21 2.531037 3.030921 3.677120 4.608837 5.986657 8.087641 11.896643
2025-09-28 2.422019 2.925628 3.586725 4.558855 6.035059 8.369425 12.842365
2025-10-05 2.340194 2.850868 3.531459 4.552096 6.144290 8.759313 14.079755
2025-10-12 2.295609 2.822914 3.537615 4.633453 6.396877 9.426119 16.065123
2025-10-19 2.249009 2.788970 3.532044 4.694783 6.620977 10.075978 18.240282
2025-10-26 2.186813 2.729846 3.486196 4.689150 6.729715 10.524786 20.105908
2025-11-02 2.101186 2.636052 3.387840 4.598511 6.690176 10.693341 21.366043
2025-11-09 2.015746 2.539448 3.281209 4.488412 6.607175 10.764975 22.410300
2025-11-16 1.950829 2.469465 3.210558 4.431534 6.614410 11.028036 24.169207
2025-11-23 1.915235 2.440010 3.198825 4.469977 6.801159 11.717909 27.749004
2025-11-30 1.875134 2.402118 3.171968 4.480463 6.934894 12.314396 31.463550
2025-12-07 1.802067 2.313187 3.062679 4.343445 6.766242 12.154728 32.016153
2025-12-14 1.745916 2.247505 2.986949 4.260225 6.698106 12.236145 33.735771
2025-12-21 1.702235 2.198818 2.935609 4.216148 6.704517 12.508363 36.608323
2025-12-28 1.669627 2.165543 2.907022 4.210185 6.788544 13.002307 41.175668
2026-01-04 1.655806 2.159887 2.921720 4.281920 7.043424 14.026469 50.426845
2026-01-11 1.638739 2.148590 2.926656 4.335935 7.266273 15.024879 61.863817